Maya Forstater

@MForstater look small in CA graph as are margins on price per kg. But not small when you consider scale of trade involved. Nor for that

@MForstater matter are Swiss (re)export amounts always 'tiny' - they are small in relation to declared volume of exports to Sui.

@MForstater The margin on prices for exports to Swi vs that to RoW suggests $8bn dev loss annually. Small margins, big volumes => scale.

@MForstater Only the top end estimates take Sui-declared margins as true, so the Sui export price dominates. But problem in price to Sui too

@MForstater Hope this helps. Do let me know if there's anything else.

@alexcobham - thnx Alex - actually Q was re the Zambia Copper calculation specifically ('80% additional GDP') - has @cgdev misunderstood?

@alexcobham e.g @owenbarder http://www.cgdev.org/blog/follow-money-illicit-financial-flows-and-development … http://www.cgdev.org/blog/illicit-financial-flows-and-three-ts-g-8-agenda-%E2%80%93-alex-cobham … both interpret the 'missing GDP' as from selling below mkt price

@alexcobham - actually figure comes from d between Swiss export price & world price (x Zam to Sw export volume) - or have I misunderstood?