Winners are Guatemala, Mexico, Honduras, Greece, and the United States. Losers: Luxembourg, Norway, Kazakhstan, China, and Cyprus. Natural resource rich countries lose but would probably shift more to non CIT taxes on natural resource rents
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Countries would face risk of tax fraud through immediate tax refunds for losses - highest risks to Iceland, Australia, Greece, Ukraine, Croatia, Romania, Portugal, Latviapic.twitter.com/PDylwo93ci
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In general, richer countries lose more revenue, poorer countries gain more (assuming full compliance.... ) but there are winners and losers across the spectrumpic.twitter.com/AvXkqYsbX2
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It look different for Luxembourg, Cyprus and Ireland taking profit shifting into account (based on the Zucman estimates).... I'm not sure how to interpret this graph?pic.twitter.com/6DPp4iLpfE
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