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Spoiler: No. Or at least no evidence could be found in this study (Caveat: based on Orbis data which has gaps, looking for evidence that MNCs respond to positive revenue shocks (windfall profits) in developing countries by shifting profits out to avoid tax )https://twitter.com/SAISAfrica/status/1000025130297327616 …
As author Caroline Schimanski says "absence of robust causal empirical evidence of profit-shifting is not evidence of absence" but it does support, I think, not getting carried away with the idea that MNCs are generally able to manipulate profits at will
Yes indeed. Although 'windfalls' in this case don't necessarily mean unanticipated (just positive deviations from sector average).
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