I asked Mark & yourselves recently why you recommend a CUK vote in the South East. I need an explanation before I lend my vote to CUK from Greens. I'm NOT going to jeopardise the Greens seat for CUK's benefit and I DON'T want to split the remain vote further. So please, explain?
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Replying to @KeithRandall10 @remainvoter and
See,
@remainvoter, people are confused by your message. Keith - if you’re intending to vote for Green DO NOT CHANGE YOUR VOTE. The recommendation for CUK was for people who hadn’t already decided, trying to pick up enough swing to pick up one more seat after transfer of votes.1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes -
Replying to @RachaelDunlop @remainvoter and
From my point of view, it makes me glad not to have to compromise on my Green support.I'm still confused by the advice though. If Greens have sufficient support for 1 seat, doesn't it make sense to increase still their support and gain a second seat, when CUK are polling SO low?
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Replying to @KeithRandall10 @RachaelDunlop and
It's because the increase in Lib dem vote needed to get another seat is far greater than the increase in CHUK to get one seat. I have looked at the assumptions and they seem fair. I have looked at the maths and it makes sense. I will vote CHUK tomorrow.
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Replying to @Louise_Bell @RachaelDunlop and
How WERE you going to vote - and if for a remain party, where are the guarantees that you're not jeopardising THEIR seats? This is the very concern Molly Scott Cato is expressing in her region I need FAR more convincing.
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Replying to @KeithRandall10 @RachaelDunlop and
I think most people wanting remain but otherwise apolitical would vote LD. I therefore think it's unlikely there will be a big enough swing away from LD to jeopardise their second seat
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Replying to @Louise_Bell @RachaelDunlop and
I hear what you say, but polling figures do not have to be TOO wrong for that advice to jeopardise good people like Bearder and Scott Cato. Remember how polling figures for UKIP in 2014 proved to be vastly OVERstated ? Who's to say LD support in pols now is not overstated?
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Replying to @KeithRandall10 @Louise_Bell and
I'm increasingly coming to the conclusion that if you support remain,just vote with your conscience on ALL issues,not just the B word. My wife took her degree in maths/statistical analysis and her own modelling provides huge end result variances on very small polling adjustments.
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Replying to @KeithRandall10 @RachaelDunlop and
Then you should surely vote Green and vote for them without a troubled conscience xx
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Replying to @Louise_Bell @RachaelDunlop and
Yep, that's my conclusion - now to convince as many others as possible. I'm in a staunch Tory constituency (Grieve's) for Westminster but the collective anti-Tory vote is so heavily split with no-one really voting FOR anything other than "not a Tory"
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But not too many
- to succeed the @remainvoter model requires those who are undecided, non-tribal or Labour supporters to vote CHUK. Your conscience is dictating your vote. That's how it should be. But it's different for those you seek to persuade
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