Liz Ann SondersOvjeren akaunt

@LizAnnSonders

Chief Investment Strategist, Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. Disclosures:

New York
Vrijeme pridruživanja: siječanj 2015.

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  1. Well this was a hoot to watch ... I think it was from early 1999 (oh, and for those wondering, my voice sounded different because I had braces ... on the inside of my upper teeth!)

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  2. 3/3 ...to appear; w/ vast majority of survey data collected prior to January 24, yet to see impact from Wuhan coronavirus outbreak, but potential disruption to business & associated financial market jitters pose additional downside risks to global & US economies in coming months"

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  3. 2/3 ...optimism about future growth [runs] at one of lowest levels seen over past decade; business concerned by prospect of weaker economic growth at home & abroad in coming year, especially w/ spending potentially being dampened in election year; fresh worries also likely...

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  4. 1/3 From Chris Williamson : "PMI data indicate that US economy is ticking along at steady but unspectacular annualized rate of growth of approximately 2% at start of 2020; growth gained some momentum…However, factory activity remains worryingly remains subdued, and ...

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  5. January composite at 53.3 vs. 53.1 “flash” estimate & 52.7 in prior month; slower growth in new orders & export orders; but cost pressures eased across manufacturing sector & overall emp increased marginally

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  6. January services at 53.4 vs. 53.2 “flash” estimate & 52.8 in December; 3rd month of stronger client demand but foreign demand weakened; emp increased marginally & output expectations relatively subdued with hesitancy re: longevity of demand

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  7. January ISM Non-Manufacturing at 55.5 vs. 55.1 est. & 54.9 in December (revised down by 0.1); business activity, new orders, imports stronger; yet employment, deliveries, inventories, prices paid, backlogs, & new export orders all fell

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  8. Provinces accounting for nearly 69% of Chinese GDP will remain closed for an extra week due to , severing hundreds of manufacturers’ links to global supply chain in near-term

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  9. Appearing on this morning around 10am ET

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  10. Trade balance ranked by country

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  11. December trade balance at -$48.9B vs. -$48.2B est. & -$43.7B in November (revised from -$43.1B); trade deficit narrowed in 2019 from widest in a decade, as shipments from China plunged -16.2% (> 2009 drop during GFC) & shipments to China fell -11.3% (greatest since 2003)

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  12. January payrolls 291k vs. 158k est. & 199k in December (revised down -3k); midsized businesses gained most at 128k, with small at 94k and large at 69k; natural resources & mining was only negative sector (-2k), while leisure & hospitality was strongest (96k)

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  13. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    4. velj

    Deliver. The. Results. Nobody. Cares. How. Personal. This. Is. For. You.

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  14. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    The market "believes liquidity can decouple us from fundamentals for a very long time." - , on

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  15. Continued slide in crude (with both Brent & WTI breaking decisively below established trading ranges & staying there) would be associated with greater chance of additional policy easing, including Fed rate cuts

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  16. Fed’s 2019 rate cuts & liquidity injections helped lift stock prices, but haven’t done same for inflation expectations

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  17. More than 60% of large-cap active equity managers underperformed & paid capital gains in 2019; much higher than their mid- & small-cap peers

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  18. Manufacturing sentiment has turned very optimistic, breaking away from commodities and shipping & distribution for now

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  19. Softer inventories & healthier new orders point to further improvement in global industrial production

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  20. Most sampled—but not recognized—songs of all time ... Amen

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