@ContentOfMedia the generalization is that any situation where someone can predict what you will do is Newcomblike
-
-
Replying to @The_Lagrangian
@The_Lagrangian well, I guess that's a thing. But it seems that the prediction errors are likely enough to make it not apply cleanly.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @ContentOfMedia
How reliable does the predictor need to be in order for one-boxing / paying the driver to be good strategy?
@ContentOfMedia@The_Lagrangian1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @WyrdOfMoon
(hint: is a function of the specific payouts in a given scenario)
@ContentOfMedia@The_Lagrangian1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @WyrdOfMoon
@WyrdOfMoon@The_Lagrangian yeah. Newcombe is a degenerate case of perfect prediction. Odd to make it the namesake.1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @ContentOfMedia
@ContentOfMedia@WyrdOfMoon I think it's partly to show why ppl should care about Newcomb's Paradox1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @The_Lagrangian
@The_Lagrangian@WyrdOfMoon but, as a degenerate case, Newcomb totally fails to show people to take the important data into consideration!1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @ContentOfMedia
@ContentOfMedia@WyrdOfMoon but it forces people to factor out case where omega is accurate from case where omega is inaccurate1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @The_Lagrangian
@ContentOfMedia@WyrdOfMoon I see it like this, where new comb is p = 1pic.twitter.com/1wBqxOkMMn
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @The_Lagrangian
@The_Lagrangian@WyrdOfMoon that makes some sense. I think I was overfitting in how newcomblike newcomblike problems are.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
@ContentOfMedia @The_Lagrangian @WyrdOfMoon Nate Soares has a solid exposition: http://mindingourway.com/newcomblike-problems-are-the-norm/ …
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.