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LifeOfMyMoon's profile
Moon Of Life
Moon Of Life
Moon Of Life
@LifeOfMyMoon

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Moon Of Life

@LifeOfMyMoon

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Joined January 2016

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    1. David Manheim‏ @davidmanheim 19 Jan 2016
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      #QOTD: "Models are false in the same way that bridges are false - it's a category error to even label them true or false." @rlmcelreath

      1 reply 6 retweets 6 likes
    2. Moon Of Life‏ @LifeOfMyMoon 19 Jan 2016
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      Replying to @davidmanheim

      @davidmanheim @rlmcelreath Models are false in the same way that bridges are flat. They clearly aren't, but they have varying degrees of.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. David Manheim‏ @davidmanheim 19 Jan 2016
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      Replying to @LifeOfMyMoon

      @LifeOfMyMoon @rlmcelreath point was about mind projection fallacy; http://lesswrong.com/lw/oi/mind_projection_fallacy/ … - models can be wrong *for doing X*, not wrong.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Moon Of Life‏ @LifeOfMyMoon 21 Jan 2016
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      Replying to @davidmanheim

      @davidmanheim @rlmcelreath The *for doing X* is essentially always implied as *for being true isomorphism of real world process*

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    5. Moon Of Life‏ @LifeOfMyMoon 21 Jan 2016
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      Replying to @LifeOfMyMoon

      @davidmanheim @rlmcelreath Models useful because they have no purpose other than truth-tracking. They make no recommendations as to actions.

      1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
    6. David Manheim‏ @davidmanheim 21 Jan 2016
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      Replying to @LifeOfMyMoon

      @LifeOfMyMoon @rlmcelreath I do of work with models that include utilities; I can infer utilities from data, though, so it can be normative.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. David Manheim‏ @davidmanheim 21 Jan 2016
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      Replying to @davidmanheim

      @LifeOfMyMoon @rlmcelreath (But now this question is about how we limit the scope of what we call a model.)

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Moon Of Life‏ @LifeOfMyMoon 21 Jan 2016
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      Replying to @davidmanheim

      @davidmanheim @rlmcelreath I'd argue models, as the name implies, should be restricted to concept of representationpic.twitter.com/apz64izPAk

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    9. David Manheim‏ @davidmanheim 21 Jan 2016
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      Replying to @LifeOfMyMoon

      @LifeOfMyMoon @rlmcelreath ES Quade (1972); So represent for purpose of choice; good model depends on which choice.pic.twitter.com/ANndxKM63r

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Moon Of Life‏ @LifeOfMyMoon 21 Jan 2016
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      Replying to @davidmanheim

      @davidmanheim @rlmcelreath Complicated way of stating that a function from choice to outcome should be modeled well. Still descriptive.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Moon Of Life‏ @LifeOfMyMoon 21 Jan 2016
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      @davidmanheim @rlmcelreath Interested in a choice? Make it a variable x. Find f(inputs, x) -> output. f is your model, x can be optimized.

      12:15 PM - 21 Jan 2016
      • 1 Retweet
      • MakerOfDecision
      1 reply 1 retweet 0 likes
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        2. David Manheim‏ @davidmanheim 21 Jan 2016
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          Replying to @LifeOfMyMoon

          @LifeOfMyMoon @rlmcelreath That's unreasonable; you never have perfect models, you make tradeoffs between accuracy about different things.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. David Manheim‏ @davidmanheim 21 Jan 2016
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          Replying to @davidmanheim

          @LifeOfMyMoon @rlmcelreath If you need f(inputs, x, y, z) to optimize x, or y, your best model is different. (Like the optimizer's curse).

          2 replies 1 retweet 0 likes
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