LeanTossup

@LeanTossup

Most Accurate 2019 Election Forecaster, UK & Canada. Twitter account of , Election Forecasters. Sports Sometimes. tweets By Evan.

Wherever There’s An Election
Vrijeme pridruživanja: svibanj 2019.

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  1. Prikvačeni tweet
    15. sij

    Announcement: LeanTossup are announcing the Launch of a project - Revival Of A Party. There’ll be multiple editions, spanning different parties, jurisdictions, and countries, but for the opening edition, we’ll be examining the Federal NDP in Canada.

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  2. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 11 minuta

    From me for on the : It might very well be time to throw the caucus out and replace it with a primary instead.

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  3. prije 11 sati

    Fuck it, no golf column this week. Bets: Jason Day 20/1 Paul Casey 20/1 Nate Lashley 80/1 Brandon Wu 275/1 Bet the E/W on Lashley and Wu

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  4. prije 12 sati

    Things we think we know: • Pete/Bernie 1/2 in some order • Warren 3rd • Klobuchar/Biden 4/5 in some order Things we definitely know: • This has been a clusterfuck

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  5. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    The longer this lasts, I worry underperformers from tonight can brush it off as a shitshow

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  6. prije 14 sati

    LeanTossup Forecast: Joe Biden NOT to come first or second in the Iowa Caucus

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  7. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    3. velj

    The preview is here! Here's what our Iowa model says for the : Sanders: 26% Biden: 21.7% Buttigieg: 17.8% Warren: 17.1% Klobuchar: 9.6% Yang: 3.8% Steyer: 2.7% Gabbard: 1.2%

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  8. 3. velj

    LeanTossup Iowa Chance Of Victory: Bernie: 55.6% Biden: 22.9% Pete: 11.1% Warren: 9.3% Klobuchar: 1% Difference between Bet365 implied odds and LeanTossup (+ = better chance) Bernie: -15.8% Biden: -3.8% Pete: +2.8% Warren: +1% Sanders is the favourite, but not safe at all.

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  9. 3. velj

    Final LeanTossup/ Iowa Average: Sanders 26% Biden 21.7% Buttigieg 17.8% Warren 17.1% Klobuchar 9.6% Yang 3.8% Steyer 2.7% Gabbard 1.2%

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  10. 3. velj

    Scheduling note: has an Iowa preview coming out for us Monday Morning, with ’s golf preview this week coming on Tuesday

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  11. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    1. velj

    I have just applied to take over the handle on behalf of . We share an interest in maps, elections, polls, and would love to use the lessons learned from our successful UK model in 2019 to keep the Election Maps UK account, and spirit, alive and well.

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  12. 1. velj

    Sources close to the site are hearing that is considering resignation over ’s decision to watch the CNN DMR Poll Special. Watch this space

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  13. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    1. velj

    Not to throw in competition but has a similar project on-going, just with general elections instead of local results. Great to see both are happening!

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  14. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    1. velj
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  15. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    31. sij

    To close Revival Of A Party, goes in on the NDP’s need for a city strategy, and lays out the policy platform that would work to make the NDP get what they want:

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  16. 31. sij

    To close Revival Of A Party, goes in on the NDP’s need for a city strategy, and lays out the policy platform that would work to make the NDP get what they want:

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  17. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    30. sij

    Source confirms this is true. Source: Literally me,

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  18. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    30. sij

    Announcement: I’m commandeering the podcast next week for a NBA post Trade Deadline podcast with one week from tonight. Gonna talk trades, future bets, and some Raptors talk. Gonna be a good time

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  19. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    30. sij

    In which I say probably my favorite story from the Canadian Federal election, and talk about how the NDP can win again

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  20. 30. sij

    In Part 3 of Revival Of A Party, takes a gander at what the NDP need to do to get back in the game

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  21. 29. sij
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