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Watching rapid spread in China, Korea, Italy & Iran, it's foreseeable we will see increasing case numbers in the US. Most likely community transmission here in US has been happening much earlier than we were able to detect it. We aren't testing at nearly the rate of China & Korea
Covid 10 times more lethal than seasonal influenza. If we have a large denominator (number of cases), even a 1-2% fatality rate will lead to many deaths. And if 10-20% of cases need medical care or hospitalization, there will be a run on clinics & hospitals, shortage of supplies
Seeing amplification in congregate setting concerns me. Think about rapid spread in hosps/health workers (China, Korea), prisons (China), Churches/holy-sites (Korean, Iran), & nursing homes. US has large prison pops, nursing, hosps... We may now have a nursing home cluster here.
We’ll start testing for #Coronavirus at end of March... until then figure all #flu like symptoms to be associated with regular seasonal flu ...
no need to get concerned 
So somebody help me to understand the numbers: a billion people in China and they only had 80K cases? Of those, 2% mortality and 20% ICU care. Prob better to say of the people sick enough to go get tested, THEY had a 2% mortality rate-feel it’s prob not 2% overall right?
There is no room for common sense in this discussion.pic.twitter.com/ig56uA9e6c
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