Lawrence Freedman

@LawDavF

Emeritus Professor of War Studies King's College London. Next book: Command: The Politics of Military Operations from Korea to Ukraine (UK Penguin, US OUP)

samf.substack.com/p/welcome-to-c…
Joined May 2013
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  1. Pinned Tweet
    Apr 29

    My latest post on the war, this time looking at the risks of a long war or an early escalation.

    22 replies . 197 retweets 523 likes
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  2. 9 hours ago

    Latest monthly digest by for Comment is Freed. Monthly Digest - Edition 4, by

    3 retweets 7 likes
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  3. Retweeted
    12 hours ago

    On artillery in Ukraine. “Russia is beginning to use artillery more effectively, says the official, concentrating it on a smaller number of targets along a narrower front, but is still struggling with “timely & accurate targeting”, as it did north of Kyiv”

    5 replies . 73 retweets 322 likes
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  4. Retweeted
    May 3

    Fascinating picture from (no doubt selective, but still) intercepted Russian phone conversations.

    The image of being the world’s “second strongest army” that the Russian army used to cultivate has been shown to be a complete sham. Russia’s military is not as scary as it thought it was.
    6 replies . 23 retweets 71 likes
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  5. Retweeted
    May 2

    A background briefing with a senior U.S. defense official about the war in Ukraine concluded a short time ago. It’s Day 68 since Russia’s invasion. Notable details:

    19 replies . 573 retweets 2,594 likes
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  6. Retweeted
    May 2

    We have stories like this claiming Moscow plans to take Moldova and then drive a land bridge to Crimea. Am I missing something? This seems v implausible A short thread 1/

    28 replies . 122 retweets 351 likes
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  7. Retweeted
    May 1

    Great piece by my colleague Jeff Edmonds ⁦⁦⁩ Hard to overstate the importance of political decisions and their strategic impact on the Russian campaign.

    28 replies . 156 retweets 657 likes
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  8. Retweeted
    May 1

    Ukrainian Intelligence Officials have denied reports that the Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Military, General Valery Gerasimov, was injured during a Ukrainian Strike on a Command Center in the Russian Occupied City of Izyum, which is Claimed to have killed 200.

    49 replies . 409 retweets 1,615 likes
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  9. Retweeted
    May 1

    There's a lot on here about the alleged wounding of General Gerasimov. and have the goods here. Gerasimov wasn't wounded, but "some 200 soldiers, including at least one general, were killed."

    22 replies . 187 retweets 541 likes
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  10. May 1

    Russian propaganda continues to boost UK foreign policy

    2:05
    This hilarious tirade by MP Andrei Isayev on state TV is a crash course in all the bizarre Russian stereotypes about Britain Make sure you watch the whole thing (with subs)
    13 replies . 21 retweets 123 likes
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  11. May 1

    A special treat from for psephological enthusiasts. For paying subscribers. Local Elections: The Preview, by

    3 retweets 12 likes
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  12. Apr 30

    Important thread on an issue that needs more attention

    Let’s talk about the state of the war and one of the most underreported yet crucially important issues: Russian blockade of Ukrainian ports and resulting strangulation of the country’s economy 🧵
    Show this thread
    8 replies . 41 retweets 121 likes
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  13. Apr 30

    I think we are talking ourselves into an unnecessary crisis here posing a choice for Putin between having to back down and an absurd nuclear war. He has a very clear red line - no direct interference by NATO - which is being respected.

    A thread on the danger of a nuclear war. I have talked here about my deep concern that we may inadvertently end up in a nuclear war by upping the ante and stepping up the escalation ladder. I'll be honest: this concern of mine goes against some things I previously argued.
    Show this thread
    39 replies . 110 retweets 532 likes
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  14. Retweeted
    Apr 29

    As with the plan for the May 9th "Victory Day" parade flyover there is also a plan for the actual parade. It also features some interesting details and differences, if compared to the parade from 2020 and 2021, that I will go through in this thread. 1/

    77 replies . 390 retweets 1,229 likes
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  15. Retweeted
    Apr 29

    The U.S. is NOT confirming that Russian chief of staff Gen. Valery Gerasimov is in Ukraine. But Russia has upped bombardments of Kharkiv, Ukraine's second largest city.

    NEW: U.S. believes Russia is increasingly bombarding Kharkiv, Ukraine's second-largest city: senior U.S. defense official Ukraine is putting up a stiff resistance, the official said.
    6 replies . 29 retweets 224 likes
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  16. Retweeted
    Apr 29

    Delighted to be appearing alongside before the International Relations & Defence Committee on 11 May, to discuss the Integrated Review & the government's ambitions for defence.

    2 retweets 16 likes
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  17. Retweeted
    Apr 29

    The British Ambassador to Ukraine is back in Kyiv 👇

    It was a long drive but worth going the distance. So good to be in again.
    4 replies . 52 retweets 293 likes
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  18. Retweeted
    Apr 29

    Almost enough to make you nostalgic for the Soviets; they were an evil government, but they took things like nuclear weapons seriously. Putin's Kremlin is just a bunch of gangsters who throw stuff like this around for the LOLs.

    This map was broadcast on Rossiya-1. It shows that a Russian Sarmat based in Kaliningrad can nuke Berlin in 106 seconds, Paris in 200 seconds and London in 202 seconds.
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    132 replies . 467 retweets 2,077 likes
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  19. Retweeted
    Apr 29

    These photos are more than a month old.

    This Tweet is unavailable.
    49 replies . 188 retweets 2,688 likes
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  20. Retweeted
    Apr 29

    Because if military history teaches us anything, it’s that armies micromanaged by political leaders always do 👌.

    👀 A senior EU source tells me: “Putin has now taken day-to day-control of the conflict and delegated the running of Russia to the Prime Minister”
    54 replies . 179 retweets 1,123 likes
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  21. Retweeted
    Apr 29

    My latest post on the war, this time looking at the risks of a long war or an early escalation.

    22 replies . 197 retweets 523 likes
    Undo

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