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4) I could be way off, but . . . if the "Yut" vote is down 2/3 NOW???? 5) It means my ED/final projection for 18-24s is gonna be way low. 6) They may be down nationally by 2/3 or more. 7) My estimate of a "missing" 1-1.5m Yuts could be way low. We might be looking at 2.5m
8) "In Dane county, WI, home to UW Madison and one of America’s most liberal college towns, the youth vote has declined from 8.0% in 2016 to 7.3% now. This came as a BIG surprise, as 27% of the total 2016 vote is already in, and the WI youth vote was expected to be energized."
9) Again, "AND VOTE EARLY." Why? Cuz they ain't gonna be on campus.
10) So if they aren't there on election day, they can't just be "down" now. They need to not just be "even" with 2016 now.
They need to be AHEAD of 2016 #s by at least 30%.
This is gonna be the Big Hurt.
I don’t believe anyone expected Biden/Harris to energize anything. It is one of the most boring tickets the Dems have produced since Mondale.
Young people are demoralized when they can’t spend time together on campus. The spirit dies but also the radicalization wears off
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