"Superforecasters" are better at tuning in signals—& tuning out noise. It’s not the millions of words had no effect. They had lots of effects, mostly tiny offsetting ones
@ezrakleinpic.twitter.com/7ugPxaFKLJ
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How can one have absolute confidence anything will happen other than Legarde and IMF and now ECB. Better practice between 30 and 70 except the Coast Starlite will make it between Seattle and LA cheers