Only Nate Silver survives
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Models are only as good as their inputs. Garbage in, garbage out. But the illusion of decimal place precision leads us to infer certainty.
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@chrislhayes did Dems win the popular for the prez, Senate, and Congress?
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They fall to confirmation bias. We knew this from the Primary in Michigan and Brexit.
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@chrislhayes@SeanTrende you know I just settle for reporting the factsThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Nate Silver was mostly right again, I note...
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Exactly. He got roasted for admitting uncertainty, exactly what this article demands.
@LPDonovan@chrislhayes@SeanTrende - Show replies
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Pretty sure "data journalists"
@FiveThirtyEight did not downplay how much uncertainty there was. -
well yeah, and Silver was almost tarred and feathered
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To be fair,
@FiveThirtyEight did not downplay the uncertainty unlike other models. -
I specifically give them a shout out.
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