Kyle Bogosian (filling in for Clifford Banes)  

@KyleBogosian

Effective Altruism. Independent researcher of dubious nature. Walk softly, give generously and carry a big stick. We truly do live in interesting times

Vrijeme pridruživanja: ožujak 2019.

Medijski sadržaj

  1. Odgovor korisniku/ci

    What's going on here

  2. Disagreements/counterarguments welcome as always...

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  3. Fixing the health insurance writeup in CSS. It's a much more accurate and coherent explainer now. (See next tweet for the 5th image) Going to call M4A "Berniecare" from now on because that's what it is. It's very different from actual Medicare.

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  4. Everyone likes to shit on this quote, but I genuinely don't see what's wrong with it. It's just a plain statement of fact. He's saying that governments take actions which form history. He's not saying that they can make up a narrative and spread it as if it were true.

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  5. Adjusting for this improves Bloomberg's score. He's now a more robust Super Tuesday vote.

  6. Odgovor korisniku/ci
  7. 5. Mike Bloomberg was only present in 22 of the 31 polls. But in those polls, he's going up and up!

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  8. 4. Pete Buttigieg is getting slightly worse as time goes by. Note, however, that he's missing from 2 of the 31 polls.

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  9. 3. Elizabeth Warren is getting slightly worse as time goes by.

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  10. 2. Bernie Sanders is getting slightly worse as time goes by.

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  11. What happens when you look at Democratic candidates' performance in polls against Trump over time? (Polls taken from 538 website.) 1. Joe Biden is getting slightly worse as time goes by.

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  12. The aid community tries to think about military power and you hate to see it. If you said this in 1999 or 2005, it would be understandable, though very naive. If you say it in 2020, you're just out of touch.

  13. Odgovor korisnicima i sljedećem broju korisnika:

    Poor comparison because policymakers don't want to spend so much money on foreign aid. Compare defense dollars to marginal government dollars, not to ideal government dollars.

  14. Odgovor korisnicima i sljedećem broju korisnika:

    There have always been such kinds of nonmilitary threats to the US. Cyber and global warming are new, but the basic issue is not new in kind or in magnitude.

  15. Odgovor korisnicima i sljedećem broju korisnika:

    Factually wrong per Iran-Iraq and Donbass.

  16. Odgovor korisniku/ci

    Warren's very close to Bernie in the results reported so far

  17. Utilitarianism vs mental disability activists

  18. Plague amulets were invented by medieval Europeans to protect against the Black Death. Now you can print out this updated version, produced by the experts at the Washington Post, and post it onto your fridge to ward off the alarming spirits of coronavirus.

  19. Can someone just spread the virus all over the US already, so that we don't have to keep enduring these takes? That would be much appreciated.

  20. Odgovor korisniku/ci

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