Tweets
- Tweets, current page.
- Tweets & replies
- Media
You blocked @KofmanMichael
Are you sure you want to view these Tweets? Viewing Tweets won't unblock @KofmanMichael
-
Things are murky in terms of military activity. Russian political messaging on Ukraine has been consistent and worrisome this year. The military deployments and exercises have been there to match.
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
I’m not sure how we got to military buildup. That it is not. There is puzzling military activity, namely 41st CAA units changing position for reasons unclear, but not an influx of new forces. The issue is that I wouldn’t judge the situation based on these few days. 1/
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Michael Kofman Retweeted
В последние дни в интернете и в СМИ говорят о новой концентрации войск РФ у границы с Украиной. Мы изучили информацию, имеющуюся в открытых источниках, и хотя мы пока не видим весенних масштабов переброски техники, причины для беспокойства все равно есть https://citeam.org/ru-troop-movements.html?4 …pic.twitter.com/8Zd2BS983H
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Michael Kofman Retweeted
Satellite image taken today by
@Maxar reveals presence of a large ground forces deployment — incl. tanks, APCs, self-propelled artillery — to a training area north of Yelnya, Russia.pic.twitter.com/fitG2APRZc
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Agree, adversaries are not going to believe declaratory policy. We don’t believe theirs. But we don’t have tactical nuclear weapons forward deployed in theater. So, policy aside, what nuclear weapons would we use to offset Chinese conventional superiority?https://twitter.com/proftalmadge/status/1454208114958426116 …
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
There is a history of escalation scares & coercive deployments that resolve peacefully. So there's no reason to commit to an interpretation without compelling evidence, but Russian force movements offer cause for concern & the situation merits watching in the coming weeks/months.
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Re: comments on the military situation surrounding Ukraine. People tend to have two settings, either nothing happening, or invasion tomorrow. At the moment it is a developing situation. It's not 'nothing happening' and it doesn't mean that there will be an offensive op tomorrow.
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Then a while ago we had this, 90th TD on a visit to Yelnya.https://twitter.com/konrad_muzyka/status/1451266466192531463 …
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Here The Lookout's post is quite helpful, discussing the appearance of a new concentration of forces in Yelnya that emerged in recent days, and unlikely to belong to the 144th MRD.https://twitter.com/The_Lookout_N/status/1454745394794180608 …
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Elements of the 41st CAA were parked in Pogonovo after March-April, supposedly to participate in Zapad-2021 exercises. They never left after the exercise which concluded mid-September. Then began loading and moving out over the past week.https://www.janes.com/defence-news/news-detail/central-military-district-pulls-more-equipment-from-vehicle-stores-on-ukrainian-border …
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Commercial sat imagery suggests that units parked at Pogonovo began leaving over a week ago. A new concentration has appeared near Yelnya in recent days. The 144th is an unfilled, understrength division. It appears that elements of the 41st have shifted position to Yelnya. 1/
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Michael Kofman Retweeted
Russian equipment from the 41st Combined Arms Army stationed at Pogonovo is being moved out. The big question is where to.pic.twitter.com/yyflUHfg1F
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Michael Kofman Retweeted
Sentinel-1 SAR-imagery of Yelnya this morning (October 31st) shows significant changes since the 26th. A new parking area has been filled, and the original has been expanded. Main parking area now 900m long. This is a serious concentration of Russian Army units and equipment.pic.twitter.com/R7jbpEJ0sv
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Very sad to find out that Jake is not with us anymore.https://twitter.com/jamestowntweets/status/1454083846593519617 …
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Good stuff. We need a causes of war thread next.https://twitter.com/profpaulpoast/status/1454424434031439878 …
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Same. I would not draw conclusions, but I think the situation merits vigilance, and cause for concern. Folks who follow me know I'm not in the alarmism business.https://twitter.com/Archer83Able/status/1454044923032969217 …
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
41st CAA elements along with supporting units had left Pogonovo and repositioned near Yelnya.https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1454052512932245504 …
0:14Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
To the numerous enthusiasts out there, please don't post with comments about winter and offensive operations. I'm from Eastern Europe. Trust me, this region has wars in winter.
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
The point of my comment about Ukraine is that I think there is a developing situation, and it could turn into something significant. Yes, in the winter (like 2015). Not in the next few days, but weeks/months. Overall, I don't think you're seeing a drill or regular training.
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.