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Not at all. A 20% IQ predictor will be reported this year. Progress is mostly held back by lack of data sharing and bad methods. If researchers started using proper methods, they would see more progress. Cf.https://www.biorxiv.org/content/early/2017/10/07/190124 …
Depends on what you mean by short term. Projections of impact of embryo selection is difficult because it depends on the uptake and the future effectiveness. I think the latter will be high, but uptake is hard to guess at.
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