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KirkegaardEmil's profile
Emil O W Kirkegaard
Emil O W Kirkegaard
Emil O W Kirkegaard
@KirkegaardEmil

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Emil O W Kirkegaard

@KirkegaardEmil

#psychology #genomics #hbd #rstats #statistics #genomics #transhumanism #dataviz #openscience #psychometrics @OpenPsychJour

Denmark
emilkirkegaard.dk
Joined January 2012

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    1. Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil 5 Dec 2017
      • Report Tweet

      Emil O W Kirkegaard Retweeted reason

      From where, though? Every country with high tier people has below replacement fertility. So, without strict selection, immigration is just a another net negative on top of the population aging issue.https://twitter.com/reason/status/938117777927184384 …

      Emil O W Kirkegaard added,

      reasonVerified account @reason
      Freaked out about fertility rates? There’s an easy way to make more Americans: immigration http://bit.ly/2ji5RRG 
      4 replies 14 retweets 37 likes
    2. Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil 5 Dec 2017
      • Report Tweet

      Too much female education & careerism is the main cause. Related cultural issues are decrease in marriage rates, easier divorces, decreased social status of family life. Not sure how to fix it without using force. If I had power, I would do a bunch of RCTs.

      1 reply 1 retweet 8 likes
    3. Jonatan Pallesen‏ @jonatanpallesen 6 Dec 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

      Economic incentives is always an obvious alternative to using force.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil 6 Dec 2017
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      Replying to @jonatanpallesen

      Show me a big RCT that shows they work.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Jonatan Pallesen‏ @jonatanpallesen 6 Dec 2017
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      Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

      You can just google 'random control trial financial incentives' or something. In general, I doubt we need any more proof that people react to incentives.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    6. Bruno Jahn‏ @foxyforecaster 6 Dec 2017
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      Replying to @jonatanpallesen @KirkegaardEmil

      They do seem to work, but the overall effects are limited. Pushing TFR by 0.1 or 0.2 is nice, but not sufficient.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Jonatan Pallesen‏ @jonatanpallesen 6 Dec 2017
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      Replying to @foxyforecaster @KirkegaardEmil

      Depends on the size of the incentive. But what could be nice is a RCT estimating the effect for an incentive of a specific size.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil 6 Dec 2017
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      Replying to @jonatanpallesen @foxyforecaster

      I'd take a 0.2 TFR any day. Would have a big effect on public finances related to aging.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. Bruno Jahn‏ @foxyforecaster 6 Dec 2017
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      Replying to @KirkegaardEmil @jonatanpallesen

      I mean, many countries have seen increases on that range or higher. But hard to ascribe causality.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Bruno Jahn‏ @foxyforecaster 6 Dec 2017
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      Replying to @foxyforecaster @KirkegaardEmil @jonatanpallesen

      E.g. Germany has seen approx. 0.25 increase since mid 90s. Also big increase in child benefits and paid parental leave.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil 6 Dec 2017
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      Replying to @foxyforecaster @jonatanpallesen

      Germany yes, but what about Germans? Need ethnic data.

      3:16 PM - 6 Dec 2017
      • 1 Like
      • Jonatan Pallesen
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        1. Bruno Jahn‏ @foxyforecaster 6 Dec 2017
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          Replying to @KirkegaardEmil @jonatanpallesen

          Afaik there has been an increase in areas in east w v few immigrants, but that is largely rebound from super-low post-transition numbers.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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