From where, though? Every country with high tier people has below replacement fertility. So, without strict selection, immigration is just a another net negative on top of the population aging issue.https://twitter.com/reason/status/938117777927184384 …
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Economic incentives is always an obvious alternative to using force.
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You can just google 'random control trial financial incentives' or something. In general, I doubt we need any more proof that people react to incentives.
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They do seem to work, but the overall effects are limited. Pushing TFR by 0.1 or 0.2 is nice, but not sufficient.
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Depends on the size of the incentive. But what could be nice is a RCT estimating the effect for an incentive of a specific size.
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I'd take a 0.2 TFR any day. Would have a big effect on public finances related to aging.
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I mean, many countries have seen increases on that range or higher. But hard to ascribe causality.
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E.g. Germany has seen approx. 0.25 increase since mid 90s. Also big increase in child benefits and paid parental leave.
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Germany yes, but what about Germans? Need ethnic data.
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Afaik there has been an increase in areas in east w v few immigrants, but that is largely rebound from super-low post-transition numbers.
End of conversation
New conversation -
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closest to random control I've seen: http://papers.ccpr.ucla.edu/index.php/pwp/article/download/779/164 …
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