From where, though? Every country with high tier people has below replacement fertility. So, without strict selection, immigration is just a another net negative on top of the population aging issue.https://twitter.com/reason/status/938117777927184384 …
Too much female education & careerism is the main cause. Related cultural issues are decrease in marriage rates, easier divorces, decreased social status of family life. Not sure how to fix it without using force. If I had power, I would do a bunch of RCTs.
-
-
Economic incentives is always an obvious alternative to using force.
-
Show me a big RCT that shows they work.
-
You can just google 'random control trial financial incentives' or something. In general, I doubt we need any more proof that people react to incentives.
-
They do seem to work, but the overall effects are limited. Pushing TFR by 0.1 or 0.2 is nice, but not sufficient.
-
Depends on the size of the incentive. But what could be nice is a RCT estimating the effect for an incentive of a specific size.
-
I'd take a 0.2 TFR any day. Would have a big effect on public finances related to aging.
-
I mean, many countries have seen increases on that range or higher. But hard to ascribe causality.
-
E.g. Germany has seen approx. 0.25 increase since mid 90s. Also big increase in child benefits and paid parental leave.
- 2 more replies
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.