Briefly: Read the primary literature yourself. Read both mainstreamers and contrarians. Learn a lot of statistics and causal reasoning.
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Replying to @KirkegaardEmil
See also this post by @fsnole1 http://quillette.com/2016/03/03/how-to-have-an-opinion-worth-hearing/ …, and classic
@ESYudkowsky post http://lesswrong.com/lw/1kh/the_correct_contrarian_cluster/ …1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
Replying to @KirkegaardEmil @ESYudkowsky
@slatestarcodex also has a few good posts on the topic http://slatestarcodex.com/2015/07/23/the-general-factor-of-correctness/ … http://slatestarcodex.com/2015/08/09/contrarians-crackpots-and-consensus/ … http://slatestarcodex.com/2017/04/17/learning-to-love-scientific-consensus/ …
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