More big news on genes and IQ, this time for VERY high IQ (>4 SDs out). Exciting times. https://www.nature.com/mp/journal/vaop/ncurrent/pdf/mp2017121a.pdf …
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Much more importnt question: what's their prediction track records? Why don't we know? Do we care abt their words if they have no validity?
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Replying to @KirkegaardEmil @Ed_Realist and
I think tetlock has suggested tracking this but it's v difficult to do so because so few predictions are presented as probabilities.
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Replying to @robvfour @KirkegaardEmil and
I don't think there's enough demand for pundits to make specific predictions tied to probabilities for it to happen
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Replying to @robvfour @Ed_Realist and
Yes. What does it say about our political culture?
1:39 AM - 8 Jul 2017
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