Bold claim. Surely weak correlation between LSAT and bar passage is suggestive.
Plot shows the predictions to be quite useful. Validity mostly obscured by the low bar for passing the test.
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Plot shows the opposite to me! You have to jump really far across the range of LSAT scores for big changes in probability
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Take the -1 z GPA (least restricted). There's 7 ticks. Compare 3rd vs. 5th, for a +85% increase in pass rate.pic.twitter.com/ch4xsXSG2E
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You know that using % increase rather than % point increase is highly misleading
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Not misleading in this case. OR only superior to RR when base rate is very high. I chose the least problematic curve for this reason.
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The curve isn't the issue! Your misleading portrayal of the effect size is.
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Was not misleading. Already explained this to you.
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You misinterpreted my complaint as an OR vs RR issue
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Next time, use blog posts etc. to discuss stuff. Twitter is terrible. No idea what your point is. Effect size is clearly substantial.
End of conversation
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