Proud to have 5/19 superforecasters as followers! Predicting the future is _not_ easy; true show of skill.
Finally found a macro-econ superforecaster! https://twitter.com/BalkanDevlen - 19 superforecasters on Twitter. https://twitter.com/search?f=users&vertical=default&q=%23Superforecaster …pic.twitter.com/Fo6j11RQxY
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Or luck.
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It's easy enough to account for luck, read the book. :)http://www.goodreads.com/book/show/23995360-superforecasting …
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