worth a read but after 10 years of macro forecasting I'd struggle to assign points or even to identify consistent optimists vs pessimistshttps://twitter.com/MargRev/status/873803280417148929 …
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even if contrarians should be excluded as a special case, can't think of anyone who put all the pieces together correctly...that's not new
This is why we have: @superforecaster, so all we are waiting for is the for economists to man up and prove their predictive validity.
