Seshat project people don't think too highly of that DB, not sure whether omissions make a big diffhttps://twitter.com/EALTurner/status/691961545664897025 …
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Don't think they even looked at the dataset. It wasn't released publicly until recently.
@pseudoerasmus -
released 22.01.2016. his tweet was 4 days later. apparently he looked at it before you
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Oh hey I made some more graphs with binomial smoothing, an animated bootstrap, and Bayesian multilevel time-series: https://www.gwern.net/Statistical%20notes#proportion-of-important-thinkers-by-global-region-over-time-in-charles-murrays-human-accomplishment …pic.twitter.com/cJmeMQKyJ4
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Also, you complain about how much of a pain it is to write JAGS models. Maybe check out brms, fairly powerful: https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/brms/vignettes/brms_multilevel.pdf …
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I think the gains of using Bayesian models are usually ~zero, and the price in time is >0, often large. But I'll have a look again.
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now that looks interesting - is it on kindle?
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This is one of the dumbest things I have ever seen
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Lots of books abt what was going on in rest of world during dark ages, fewer abt goings on during other times
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So I doubt there was actually a real bump in non-euros during the drk ages so much as we've documented more
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if dataset more complete Asian line might track higher for longer before dip. central asian enlightenment.
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Of course your tweet got blowback- no clear conclusion & an easy insinuation. With context, better tweet.
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why on earth is this a ridiculously smooth curve? What's the point of fitting one to the data?
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the most offensive thing about this graph is the choice of colors. Yellow asian. Jeez..
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@Cernovich@charlesmurray But Africans were around for at least 200,000 yrs not fair to begin at 600 BC it skews the numbers -
We were all filth in comparison to Sumer at one point my friend.
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Sumer was a babe in the oasis compared to Ancient Egypt / Kush.
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waiting for a similar graph from Main Kampf data...
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