Quote from one of "less wrong" superforecasters: working class whites just decided to vote like a minority group. They're >40% of electorate
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Replying to @PTetlock
whites are soon a minority group. Voting pattern changes expected the next couple of decades.
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Replying to @KirkegaardEmil @PTetlock
Only if you assume the exact delineation of "white" won't change, which historically it has often.
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Replying to @foxyforecaster @PTetlock
sure, there is flexibility as can be seen in Brazil. But it only slows the change down.
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Replying to @KirkegaardEmil @PTetlock
If all Hispanics with, say, >80% European ancestry are considered white, I think they may stay majority forever.
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Replying to @foxyforecaster @PTetlock
Hispanics are about 60% euro on avg. But I'm not sure how it's related to self identification. I'll have a look.
1:41 AM - 9 Nov 2016
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