#Brexit predictive model prediction the day before: In favor of leave by about 0.6%point. http://emilkirkegaard.dk/understanding_statistics/?app=brexit_model …pic.twitter.com/9mCiBakylQ
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Hm, that's a big difference from what superforecasters and the GJOpen people are saying.
What do they know we don't? I mean, this is raw polling data + standard model.
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Furthermore, I looked at some recent polls and outcomes for these topics. They tend to underestimate nationalist/conservative %'s.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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