#Brexit predictive model prediction the day before: In favor of leave by about 0.6%point. http://emilkirkegaard.dk/understanding_statistics/?app=brexit_model …pic.twitter.com/9mCiBakylQ
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The margin depends on the span chosen, but varies from about 0.0 to about 2.0 (span=0.5-1.0).
#rstats
Really should choose a span value using cross-validation, but don't have time to write the code... 'hint hint' #rstats