@Flatland_USA There is some signal, but probably a confound.pic.twitter.com/asFtJfPICm
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@Flatland_USA There is some signal, but probably a confound.pic.twitter.com/asFtJfPICm
@Flatland_USA Eh, forgot the right margin.pic.twitter.com/3yBnc9jvOC
@Flatland_USA I'm sure if you look harder, you will find a lot of other stuff too. That study looks like a fishing expedition to me.
@KirkegaardEmil Aren't all of those disorder/crime/accident effect sizes in the predicted direction?
@gwern Major dep. and accident claims are in the wrong direction.
@KirkegaardEmil The ORs are >1, indicating increased rates with T. Gondii, I assumed. More dysfunction, worse reflexes.
@gwern OR is wrong for major dep. Look %'s: 14.8 vs. 15.4. Higher rate in controls.
@gwern Well, OR takes gender into account. %'s do not. But sure, there may or may not be effects too small to see here.
@KirkegaardEmil An increase of 1.2 OR across the board really adds up. 'The indifference of the indicator'...
@gwern Or just one sample that is consistently worse off. May be just a sociological confound due to differential exposure.
@KirkegaardEmil It's not strong evidence. I just think you're wrong about which direction this evidence goes: it's bad news, not good news.
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