Rationalists should have targeted the fallacy that set membership conveys no information about members of a set.https://twitter.com/UF_blog/status/699069863654916096 …
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@whyvert@JamesPsychol Isn't that 'base-rate neglect'?
@gwern @whyvert @JamesPsychol Yes, base rate fallacy, aka. not taking the prior into account. http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=5788
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@KirkegaardEmil@gwern@whyvert The fallacy "of not requiring total evidence" -
@JamesPsychol@gwern@whyvert Not a formal fallacy, just Carnap's principle ("principle of total evidence"). -
@KirkegaardEmil@gwern@whyvert Agreed. I was trying to capture the mood of formulating a fallacy based on Carnap's principle.
End of conversation
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@KirkegaardEmil Another way of putting this: https://twitter.com/JayMan471/status/665216374650834945 …@gwern@whyvert@JamesPsycholThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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