So trying to do some #GCTA meta-analysis for intelligence/cognitive traits, and the estimates *decrease* with age‽pic.twitter.com/RuM129w6Ow
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@gwern Good question. Despite p=.009, I judge 90% it is a fluke. I'll write down my prediction.
@KirkegaardEmil Thought it might be rich-twin-samples~>higher-heritability, but coded up twin as covariate; non-significant & negative-sign.
@KirkegaardEmil You know what, I bet it's due to no adult/middle-aged samples: datapoints jump from 14yo to 57yo, hiding any quadratic hump.
@gwern Or just a fluke. Flukes are common in moderator analyses. Let's see if the next study confirms the pattern. What about the missing?
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