The push toward open borders has to be one of the most destructive political trends of my lifetime.
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National Academy of Sciences report actually says the opposite for the U.S. - factoring in descendants flips moderate negative fiscal effects to moderate positive.
I agree that immigration is a positive economically but it creates political and social divisiveness and instability.
You don't need to read their report to know, you only need to think a little bit. Welfare states (USA included) are very close to net neutral. Net contribution of a person over lifetime is approximately normally distributed. Hence, below average people are net negatives.
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(left) Life time net contribution over life. Non-western is the red curve, it's always negative, so the sum is _very_ negative. Non-western immigrants are about 67% of immigrants here. (right) Sums over life, light blue = age-adj. Bar 2 & 4 are 2nd gen. https://www.fm.dk/oekonomi-og-tal/oekonomisk-analyse/2019/indvandreres-nettobidrag-til-off-finanser-i-2016 …pic.twitter.com/SyhHhHK0Bd
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Distributrions of net contributions limited to working ages. ~70% Danes are net benefit, but non-western 1st gen ~40%, and ~50% 2nd gen non-western. WORKING AGE PEOPLE (best case scenario).pic.twitter.com/JFklvKMOPD
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By country of origin. These are not age-adjusted unfortunately, so they reflect current age distribution and distribution of 1/2 gens. Notice a pattern? Light blue = Western, dark blue = nonwestern. India, China, Ukraine are net positive, Bulgaria negative, but otherwise perfectpic.twitter.com/PCbOtVT0zq
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Summary: - Most immigrants net negative - Most countries of origin net negative on average - Western 2nd gens are about net zero - Nonwestern 1st and later gen are net negative, both now in reality and in future (i.e. life time estiimates) - Immigration overall massive net loss
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Syrians are among the best-educated refugee groups in Germany yet three of four live off benefitshttps://www.welt.de/politik/article200708580/Migration-Drei-von-vier-Syrern-erhalten-Hartz-IV.html …
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Germany (2019): 46% of all unemployed have a migration background and 57% of those who are capable of work and entitled to benefits (cf. 23% of the overall population has a migration background). In 2013, the numbers were 36%, respectively 43%.https://www.welt.de/politik/deutschland/article191082027/BA-Statistik-46-Prozent-der-Arbeitslosen-haben-Migrationshintergrund.html …
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Survey Shows Alarming Lack of Integration in Germany https://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/immigration-survey-shows-alarming-lack-of-integration-in-germany-a-603588.html … "It shows that foreigners who come to live in Germany tend to remain strangers, even after 50 years and three generations in some cases."
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See also: religiosity of people with Turkish origin in Germany has increased by 26.9 percentage points from 56.7% to 83.6% between the years 2000 and 2017https://twitter.com/XiXiDu/status/1095317673746055168 …
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