There is no such thing as scientific consensus - science is about falsification, not affirmation. The notion of scientific consensus misses the point of science entirely
What level of agreement is scientific consensus? Assume a binary question for simplification, and experts can only agree or disagree. Which fraction agree% among experts in a field constitutes existence of consensus about a question?
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I would love it if 80% of people vote for 90%+
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Honestly the top heaviness of the results (90-99%) reflects naiviness imo. There will always be a dissenting faction outside of hard mathematical sciences and this is simply a function of the "change of generations", where outdated ideas die with the men that hold them.
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Popper and Kuhn are good reads in this regard, although their views are getting lost in the pablum
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95%, is this how p values work
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Depends on the field, and the political relevance of the point in question. See the debunking-Darwin type arguments spinning minor quibbles into a purported consensus that Darwinism has failed.
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If there is no consensus on what counts as consensus ...
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Do said scientists fear for their careers if they speak truthfully?
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I'd say about 95 percent. That about reaches the troll limit.
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