And so people point out Taleb's mistakes.
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Patrick Jannis Lehner Retweeted Patrick Jannis Lehner
Patrick Jannis Lehner added,
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Replying to @pjlehner @Scientific_Bird and
Following this very healthy and humble axiom in our epistemology, we can say your line of reasoning/logics become incoherent. You will communicate inconsistently by definition of our axiomatic epistemology that we agree on.
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Replying to @pjlehner @Scientific_Bird and
These are Socrates' words btw.
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I have no problem saying "I don't know" when I feel like I don't know something. But I'm not going to say "I don't know" when I think I'm completely justified in claiming knowledge based on sufficient evidence.
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Our discussion was exactly about the fact that you can't justify sufficient. We disagree with your method. You said "nobody claims that the relationship between the concepts are strong ones" (more or less). Now you say this evidence is sufficient. It is clearly not.
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Oh my god. The relationship doesn't have to be strong for us to have sufficient evidence that there is some relationship.
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Replying to @Scientific_Bird @pjlehner and
This is similar to the distinction between the size of an effect (say, R²), and the p-value.
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As I note in HM, the correlation between gender & height is low (0.2?) but it's entirely sound to generalize and say men are usually taller than women
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I've long wanted to find a paper where they report the *correlation* between gender and earnings, but usually they report some percentage difference. I suspect that gender explains a very small percentage of variation in earnings, yet the gender gap is constantly talked about
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Eh just download nlsy, lazy AND stupid bird? 
Or read my draft.https://osf.io/6rkst/
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