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KirkegaardEmil's profile
Emil O W Kirkegaard
Emil O W Kirkegaard
Emil O W Kirkegaard
@KirkegaardEmil

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Emil O W Kirkegaard

@KirkegaardEmil

#psychology #genomics #hbd #rstats #statistics #genomics #transhumanism #dataviz #openscience #psychometrics @OpenPsychJour

Denmark
emilkirkegaard.dk
Joined January 2012

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    Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil Jul 3
    • Report Tweet

    Brazil has ~5500 municipalities. Everybody takes a scholastic test every year, sample size was 8.6M in 2016. So we calculate White% population and average test score. Looks like this.pic.twitter.com/W2eLtv0MrF

    6:10 AM - 3 Jul 2019
    • 49 Retweets
    • 200 Likes
    • Luboš Hemala HP (Handsome Pirate) Sauce Le Savoisien Ben tommytommy Lackadaisical Joe™️ Michael Boyle Leo ad Plagum Altermedia Danmark
    22 replies 49 retweets 200 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Inquisitive Bird‏ @Scientific_Bird Jul 3
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

        Can one get their hands on this data? 😮

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
      3. Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil Jul 3
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @Scientific_Bird

        It's all public. Massive amounts of it. This one is from Enem 2016. http://portal.inep.gov.br/microdados  Spatial data here ftp://geoftp.ibge.gov.br/organizacao_do_territorio/malhas_territoriais/malhas_municipais/municipio_2018/Brasil/BR/

        1 reply 2 retweets 25 likes
      4. Leandro Cardoso‏ @siegnant Jul 3
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @KirkegaardEmil @Scientific_Bird

        You are great!

        1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
      5. Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil Jul 3
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @siegnant

        pic.twitter.com/UTqgIDFXk7

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      6. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Mason Hayes‏ @MasonRHayes Jul 3
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

        Seems pretty misleading since there are many omitted variables. It also assumes white% exogenous. Did you try controlling for income, education expenditures, poverty levels?

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil Jul 3
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @MasonRHayes

        Main causal pathway is white% -> intelligence -> social outcomes. Controlling for social outcomes is the sociologist fallacy.

        4 replies 2 retweets 21 likes
      4. Mason Hayes‏ @MasonRHayes Jul 3
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

        How did you get a causal pathway out of a simple regression?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil Jul 3
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @MasonRHayes

        Never said I got it out of this regression.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      6. Mason Hayes‏ @MasonRHayes Jul 3
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

        That's true. I just don't see how this regression is meaningful at all with only one explanatory variable

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      7. Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil Jul 3
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @MasonRHayes

        Weird comment. I hope you keep your standards and say the same thing for every other scatterplot you see. ;) Joking aside, this plot is highly informative because many people don't know of this pattern, but it's present all over New World. Ancestry is root cause of inequality.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      8. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. X Belief‏ @x_belief Jul 3
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

        "Everybody takes a scholastic test every year" Very interesting. Any other countries do this?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil Jul 3
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @x_belief

        A lot of countries do, they just don't publish the data. E.g., review in http://www.nefmi.gov.hu/europai-unio-oktatas/eurydice/national-testing-of …

        0 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Hardy Hulley‏ @HardyHulley Jul 3
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

        Nice data set and interesting analysis. The endogeneity problem is obvious, though. Did you control for average income/wealth in the municipalities?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil Jul 3
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @HardyHulley

        Emil O W Kirkegaard Retweeted Emil O W Kirkegaard

        https://twitter.com/KirkegaardEmil/status/1146555060027109377 …

        Emil O W Kirkegaard added,

        Emil O W Kirkegaard @KirkegaardEmil
        Replying to @MasonRHayes
        Main causal pathway is white% -> intelligence -> social outcomes. Controlling for social outcomes is the sociologist fallacy.
        0 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. spirit_of_negation‏ @negatingspirit Jul 3
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

        Th variance of the municipalty means after controling for european % is interestingly quite large. Larger than I'd have naively expected. Some of it self sorting, no doubt, others just SE. What accounts for the rest? Also too many data points at 0,50,100% due to rounding.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil Jul 3
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @negatingspirit

        It's not European%, it's self-reported White (Branco) status. The amount of European ancestry this amounts to varies by region, so it's not that great a proxy. I think values at 0.5, 1.0 due to having 2 cases in that unit.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. obstacle‏ @obstaclecap Jul 4
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

        Worth noting that Enem became a heavily politicized exam in the last few years, especially the essay. They became left-wing-ideological tests that students then learned to game in order to score high. Data on older tests (2008 or prior) and excluding the essay might be the best.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil Jul 4
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @obstaclecap

        I did not use the essays on my scoring.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Timofey Pnin‏ @pnin1957 Jul 3
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

        Could you do the same with a loess fit line?

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      3. Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil Jul 3
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @pnin1957

        pic.twitter.com/su6Ba9beYh

        1 reply 1 retweet 11 likes
      4. Timofey Pnin‏ @pnin1957 Jul 3
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

        Thanks.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. End of conversation

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