Where's the reference to this? Just to be published?
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A new study in progress, but data fromhttps://openpsych.net/paper/12
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Sampling error, I assume. Wonder what a proper spatial or hierarchical approach with shrinkage would yield as the actual top county.
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Almost certainly. I'll give you the data file and you can try.
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I don't care that much, but county-level outliers are one of the paradigmatic cases of this. (If you're going to use it for something, this is a good opportunity to learn how to do it right.)
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Is that really dumb county near the panhandle also dry? Greater variation with smaller sample sizes. There a name for that effect, but I forgot what it is.
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I saw a map of highest rates of some cancer, and it was all small rural counties. So is the map of lowest rates of that cancer. Bill Gates spent $10^9 on small schools, because best schools are all small. But so are the worst schools.
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Central Limit Theorem of sorts? Large samples taken from a population tend to have the similar means. Small samples vary more widely? i.e. Smaller towns have greater variance of their means than larger towns. Compare instead batches of 600 person neighborhoods, not counties.
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Law of small numbers.
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John Barleycorn must die !
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