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KirkegaardEmil's profile
Emil O W Kirkegaard
Emil O W Kirkegaard
Emil O W Kirkegaard
@KirkegaardEmil

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Emil O W Kirkegaard

@KirkegaardEmil

#psychology #genomics #hbd #rstats #statistics #genomics #transhumanism #dataviz #openscience #psychometrics @OpenPsychJour

Denmark
emilkirkegaard.dk
Joined January 2012

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    Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil May 2
    • Report Tweet

    Climate skeptics should put their money where their mouths are. Prediction markets for weather show that prediction markets are roughly in line with scientific consensus. Funny study to throw at those libertarians who love markets & think GW is a scam. https://voxeu.org/article/market-betting-climate-change …pic.twitter.com/5mG3loac5F

    12:36 AM - 2 May 2019
    • 24 Retweets
    • 77 Likes
    • Tweet News Mdu Larke 67 DoNotWantTwitAcc Malcolm Sharpe Matt Williams Mike LaTorra 🐸 hbd nrx 🐸
    14 replies 24 retweets 77 likes
      1. This Tweet is unavailable.
      2. Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil May 2
        • Report Tweet

        I don't think scientists in general are into catastrophism as skeptics usually phrase things. One can find a few extremists, but climate scientists aren't predicting Ragnarok. They are predicting stuff like: 15% harsher hurricanes, -0.5 pH of sea levels, 50 cm sea level rise etc.

        1 reply 0 retweets 12 likes
      3. ibn Zakariya al-Razi‏ @ZakariyaAlRazi May 2
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

        ibn Zakariya al-Razi Retweeted Rory Stewart

        Do you think that the new UK International Development Secretary, @RoryStewartUK , is irresponsible to describe it as a "climate emergency" and "cataclysm"?https://twitter.com/RoryStewartUK/status/1123867363013738496 …

        ibn Zakariya al-Razi added,

        1:44
        Rory StewartVerified account @RoryStewartUK
        Some early thoughts on the new role #Peston pic.twitter.com/iD7o5z0YZk
        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil May 2
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @ZakariyaAlRazi @RoryStewartUK

        Probably, politicians are not good at science, which is unfortunate as their decisions depend on getting facts right.

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      5. ibn Zakariya al-Razi‏ @ZakariyaAlRazi May 2
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @KirkegaardEmil @RoryStewartUK

        That's disappointing. I greatly admire @RoryStewartUK and he normally illustrates a balanced and well informed view of the world.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      6. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Neil‏ @neipate96 May 5
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

        what's with the really fast change in the last couple years?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil May 5
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @neipate96

        Last 4 years broke a lot of records. Global warming is a general trend, but semi-random in the short term. http://berkeleyearth.org/2018-temperatures/ …pic.twitter.com/N4FA1jW0j6

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. ꙮvchinnikov‏ @ovchinnikov May 2
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

        Climate models are different from weather models and in general climate is not synonymous to weather.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1.  🚮‏ @giggs_boson May 2
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

        We're coming out of an Ice age - of course it is warming. Only some sceptics deny warming (with some good reason, as NOAA are being sued finally for adjusting historical temps to be cooler, and the general scepticism of global temperature accuracy before the 70s)

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. This Tweet is unavailable‏ @EALTurner May 2
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

        The premise is wrong. Climate skeptics don't by definition argue there is global cooling. Some do. Some argue unknown. Others warming up to a limit. Others slower warming. They are united in not predicting catastrophe. That is what puts climate science in scam territory.

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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      1. Isaiah‏ @ibeckermayer May 2
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

        Isn’t that showing that the station data is much different from the model predictions?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Osalnef‏ @osalnef May 2
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @KirkegaardEmil @AcadFreedom

        Climate skeptics don't deny climate change, but its cause. I think. (I may have misunderstood your point though)

        2 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
      3. Alex Mead‏ @amead93 May 2
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @osalnef @KirkegaardEmil @AcadFreedom

        Yeah, I think that humans (and our actions) are probably contributing, just not necessarily in a "catastrophic" way. I just don't like it when things can't be questioned (rightly or wrongly). Climate change has become almost sacred; like a doomsday cult - scaring kids n shit.

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. contrarian pariah‏ @g26h17 May 2
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

        A hit and a miss on this one. One of the main claims is that temperature datasets are fraudulent. https://wattsupwiththat.com/2015/08/14/problematic-adjustments-and-divergences-now-includes-june-data/ … Secondly, the property market in the (soon to be underwater) Maldives is doing great. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9p51t2MHcms …pic.twitter.com/oyjC2C0iIN

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. Humphrey‏ @MandaineE May 2
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @KirkegaardEmil @HbdNrx

        Well, Eysenck had his astrology...

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Alpharius Rex‏ @Alphariusrex May 2
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        Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

        Climate skeptics can mean non agreement that A. Warming would be a net negative B. That the changes are primarily the result of Human action C. That the people pushing the hypothesis and so called solutions are not doing so for personal profit or prestige.

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      1. Rever leo‏ @Reverleo1 May 2
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        Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

        Jeremy Corbyn's brother Piers made a good living betting on weather events. Does not buy AGW. These climate derivatives are politicized. ..rigged.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. jimgray‏ @farmergray May 2
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        Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

        go read the wikileaks letters, they are frauds until the prove otherwise

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      1. big and powerful‏ @verybigpow May 3
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        Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

        Is gambling odds a good way to tell if something is true or not? Pretty sure they base that stuff on the science soooo circular logic?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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