Loads of things that could go wrong when testing a polygenic score using one population as the discovery & training sample on another population. Effect sizes, effect directions, interactions of SNPs can vary across populations;
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Replying to @salonium @paul_hundred and
Saloni 🏳️🌈 Retweeted Saloni 🏳️🌈
Some SNPs that cause variation in the test sample may not vary in the discovery sample and therefore wouldn't be included in the score; there might not be enough correction for unrelated pop genetic diffs e.g.https://twitter.com/salonium/status/1087950206304436226 …
Saloni 🏳️🌈 added,
Saloni 🏳️🌈 @saloniumReplying to @salonium @sentientistHere's an example I thought of: North & South Koreans vary in height because of nutritional access. Imagine the border collapses suddenly and there's more migration between the countries. Now there might be more S Koreans in N Korea. The average height of the population rises and1 reply 2 retweets 15 likes -
Replying to @salonium @paul_hundred and
There are also other technical problems related to identifying snps, like LD decay, where the snps tagged by the analyses capture the causal variant less often bc of more recombination as populations differ more
2 replies 2 retweets 12 likes -
Replying to @salonium @paul_hundred and
And then there are problems when we ignore rare variants that affect the phenotype which are quite different across populations
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Replying to @salonium @paul_hundred and
In general, polygenic scores are useful for prediction rather than causal explanation, and especially when they're being tested on populations that weren't properly represented in the discovery sample
1 reply 2 retweets 19 likes -
Replying to @hpashler @paul_hundred and
Saloni 🏳️🌈 Retweeted Saloni 🏳️🌈
Why would that be useful? Going back to this ex https://twitter.com/salonium/status/1087950206304436226 … 1) the correlation b/e pgs & height in N Koreans might be lower than the correlation in S Koreans, e.g. bc even w a higher pgs, envt deprivation is so large that genetic propensity doesn't help N Koreans much
Saloni 🏳️🌈 added,
Saloni 🏳️🌈 @saloniumReplying to @salonium @sentientistHere's an example I thought of: North & South Koreans vary in height because of nutritional access. Imagine the border collapses suddenly and there's more migration between the countries. Now there might be more S Koreans in N Korea. The average height of the population rises and1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes -
2) the correlation b/e pgs & height might be the same in both populations but environmental advantage has 'lifted' the height of the S Koreans So the correlation alone would prob not tell us much at all & wouldn't give a way to correct the bias
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I'd think the regression of phenotype on PGS would be more informative than correlation in both cases. If the regression of IQ (assuming no test bias) on PGS (corrected for measurement error) is the same for two groups, a causal interpretation of mean diffs would seem reasonable.
2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
We're working on this approach using a subset of supposed causal variants for the PGS (to avoid ld decay).
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