Right. It's hard for people to remember patterns that the culture's system of incentive and disincentives inclines them not to, even ones as obvious as Olympic men's 100m dash finalists.https://twitter.com/QuasLacrimas/status/1076609383411445761 …
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I first noticed in 1992 from Amby Burfoot's "White Men Can't Run" article that blacks made up last 16/16 Olympic finalists in 100m sprint. I wrote about it in 1997 when it was up to 32/32. Now it's up to 72/72. Burfoot's Natural Experiment is just jaw-dropping: 56/56 results.
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But how many folks think hard about implications of this remarkable racial pattern in the World's Fastest Man race? Most people just are ignorant of it. In contrast,
@nntaleb constructs a ludicrous rationale for dismissing it: it's "ludic," for fun, not serious, thus ignorable.5 replies 0 retweets 37 likesShow this thread -
Replying to @Steve_Sailer
I accept that sports matter and draw a lot of people. And that heredity matters for some functions. But the tail is well... the tail. 90% and 99.9% of life lie by definition outside of the near and far tail respectively.
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Replying to @nntaleb @Steve_Sailer
Questionable assertion. For instance, almost all scientific/technological progress is driven by the "tail". Average IQ of America's most eminent scientists in early 1950s as per Anne Roe's studies: ~155. Technological growth is ofc only real source of longterm economic growth.
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But big average IQ gaps also impact the middles - and the U.S. government’s regulations assume the gaps don’t exist. Hence the lawsuits over firefighter applicant tests and the like that Steve has written about.
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Replying to @dpinsen @akarlin88 and
A question I asked
@KirkegaardEmil once was whether there’s data breaking down mortality & morbidity rates of physicians by race, since med school applicants of one race receive significant preferences and, anecdotally, seem over-represented in botched cosmetic surgeries.1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
I was unable to find any direct data, but a lot of studies I found had the right datasets, they merely avoided reporting the main effects (physician race) while reporting the interactions effects (physical x patient race). One can use this:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3204310/ …
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