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Germans are pretty smart. Though I agree Lynn's views are simple on this. For instance, it presupposes tech developments that annul nukes.
I imagine satellite lasers can shoot down long range missiles near future, or, high altitude drones that are in 24/7 operation with air to air/missile weapons. But doesn't neglect just shipping a nuke by civilian transport to e.g. NYC then detonating. Easy.
BFR type systems spraying atomic pellets. Nuclear powered ramjet cruise missiles circling the world for weeks on end (1960s idea). Nuclear armed submarine drones plying world's oceans. Lasers, drones, etc. are cool and all but firing a bullet always easier than shooting it down.
Satellites are also fairly easy for advanced nations to destroy. Don't even need to get close to the thing, just dump a bunch of gravel in it's flight-path & wait for it to crash into that mess.
Lasers won't work though clouds, so if ICBMs fired on cloudy day, would have to wait for them to at least clear above clouds - by which case maybe ICBMs could deploy some kind of countermeasures. Maybe could send up lots of ICBMs ahead of the nuke ones to create smoke-screen?
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