Is it a myth? Looking at the tail end of that graph, there's a fertility disparity of about 1.8 vs 1.4 (for western immigrants). (1.8/1.4)^3 = 2.12, so the non-Danish population will double in size (relatively speaking) in 3 generations. Small disparities do compound.
Fertility of immigrant groups in Denmark by generation Or, the myth of being outbreed by a small immigration population within a few generations. http://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/?p=7562 pic.twitter.com/idtzP9i24h
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You need to compare to Danes, not western immigrants.
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Unless I'm confusing the two shades of green
#chartcrime, I'm comparing non-Danish western women to Danes. Danes are the lowest fertility on that graph, right? -
I.e. 1.4 is my eyeball estimate for Danes, 1.8 for non Danish western women.
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Danes is ~1.8. Western women don't matter.
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Why don't you just click the link to the actual values?? Danish = 1.775 in 2017.pic.twitter.com/T5OKYtz1kS
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20% og children from immigrants. I believe only 5-6 % of danes are immigrants.https://politiken.dk/indland/art5875965/Boom-i-syriske-fødsler-her-i-landet.-Danmark-bliver-mere-brunt …
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15-20% are foreigners, depending how counting method.
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And here are the Swedish borns split up into both parents of the woman born in Sweden (blue), one parent born abroad (light green) and borh parents born abroad (dark green). This means that second-generation migrants have fewer kids than native Swedes.pic.twitter.com/n3Jl9VWdLf
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Source?
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Statistical office of Sweden
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Migrant flows seem to be way more important than a few points difference in the fertility rate to determine population replacement speed.
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That was never the worry, it was the never-ending stream of new arrivals that continue to outbreed the natives.
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Here is fertility for foreign borns (utrikes födda) and Swedish borns (Födda i Sverige) in
#SwedenYes . The gap is surprizingly small despite the massive influx of high-fertility refugees.pic.twitter.com/bn6YJGlSSX
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@hbdchick The Danes nearly did the same thing to the Angles and Saxons who'd successfully out populated the Britons earlier.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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So rising % Muslims (which you said your name analysis suggests is if anything underestimated) now driven entirely by younger age structure & continued immigration?
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Not to forget that fertility is declining in Muslim countries as well. Not so much in Pakistan, but a lot in Iran, Bangladesh or even Saudi Arabia.
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