Lower than expected results could be due to trade winds causing deep ocean heat absorption. This was widely discussed regarding the claim of a warming "pause" a few years ago. Notice the recent acceleration or temperature increases, following the shift of trade winds.
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The NASA Temperature Record Is Garbage https://realclimatescience.com/the-nasa-temperature-record-is-garbage/ …
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Systematic Destruction Of The Temperature Record https://realclimatescience.com/systematic-destruction-of-the-temperature-record/ …
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NASA Sea Level Fraud https://realclimatescience.com/nasa-sea-level-fraud/ …
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NASA Hiding The Decline https://realclimatescience.com/hiding-the-decline-smoking-gun/ …
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NASA Doubling Warming Since 2001 https://realclimatescience.com/nasa-doubling-warming-since-2001/ …
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History Of NASA/NOAA Temperature Corruption https://realclimatescience.com/history-of-nasanoaa-temperature-corruption/ …
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Medieval Warm Period https://realclimatescience.com/hansen-confirmed-the-mwp-in-1981/ …
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Global Temperature Record Is A Smoking Gun Of Collusion And Fraud https://realclimatescience.com/global-temperature-record-is-a-smoking-gun-of-collusion-and-fraud/ …
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Fitting An Elephant https://realclimatescience.com/fitting-an-elephant/ …
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CU Sea Level Fraud https://realclimatescience.com/cu-sea-level-fraud/ …
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Arctic Sea Ice Fraud https://realclimatescience.com/government-arctic-sea-ice-fraud/ …
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Alterations To Climate Data https://realclimatescience.com/alterations-to-climate-data/ …
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All Temperature Adjustments Monotonically Increase https://realclimatescience.com/all-temperature-adjustments-monotonically-increase/ …
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There are a lot of factors wrt. predicting non-physics part of the equation (like behavior) which makes it hard to evaluate exactly how precise the predictions were. Also... bear in mind that the current measured temps include the short term cooling factor of aerosols.
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This gives an overview of different predictions:https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-how-well-have-climate-models-projected-global-warming …
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