Hopefully, we don't have to wait till 2040! In Denmark, 8% of babies in 2016 were born thru IVF. 8%! https://qz.com/677335/by-the-year-2040-embryo-selection-will-replace-sex-as-the-way-most-of-us-make-babies/ … Danish source: https://sundhedsdatastyrelsen.dk/da/tal-og-analyser/analyser-og-rapporter/andre-analyser-og-rapporter/assisteret-reproduktion …
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Replying to @KirkegaardEmil
Is that the global record? The highest I've heard of before was Japan at 5%. It's mindboggling to think that almost 1 in 10 Danish kids involve IVF.
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Replying to @gwern
I think so. There's a review paper every year on the topic, but it's a few years delayed because aggregating the data takes a while. Latest comparison is 2013 data. I looked at the recent Danish source to get newest values. https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Christian_De_Geyter/publication/320961703_Assisted_reproductive_technology_in_Europe_2013_results_generated_from_European_registers_by_ESHRE/links/5a058429a6fdcceda0340832/Assisted-reproductive-technology-in-Europe-2013-results-generated-from-European-registers-by-ESHRE.pdf … https://scholar.google.dk/scholar?hl=en&as_sdt=0%2C31&q=%22results+generated+from+European+registers+by+ESHRE%22&btnG= …
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Replying to @KirkegaardEmil
Table 2, 'ART infants per national births', right?
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Replying to @gwern
Yep. I'd like to extract their data from every year into a spreadsheet, so we can plot and model the timeline trends. How soon do we reach 25%? 50%? Unfortunately, their website has no downloadable data, so one has to manually get it from their tables from each paper.
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Replying to @KirkegaardEmil @gwern
This review is quite good, but seemingly does not cover the obvious question of ART% of total births, which is the value we need to estimate impact of embryo selection.https://academic.oup.com/hropen/article/2017/2/hox012/4096838 …
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I believe there's some legislation effects. E.g. Sweden much lower than Denmark because Swedish law is very restrictive, so people go to Copenhagen.
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