This describes many "consensuses" in social psychology (including but not not just politicized ones). "Consensus" is a political argument. Validity and strength of underlying evidence is a scientific argument.https://twitter.com/Jon_StewartMill/status/1020094940167254022 …
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Replying to @PsychRabble
Consensus measured in anonymous surveys is pretty good evidence. See eg results from IQ researchers.http://www.unz.com/jthompson/who-are-the-iq-experts/ …
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Replying to @KirkegaardEmil
Yes, its an interesting point. I wonder, had there been, say, a survey, of psychologists circa 2005-2010, would there have been a consensus of belief that the IAT was a good measure of implicit bias, which was a powerful and pervasive source of discrim and inequality? IDK, but...
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Replying to @PsychRabble @KirkegaardEmil
often, "consensus" is based on claims in the pubbed lits (I think that is where the orig 97% climate consensus came from; the lit, not a survey). And pubbed lits in psych are replete w/so many biases its hard to know what to make of them.
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Replying to @PsychRabble
There's lots of climate science surveys too with congruent results. That consensus is real enough. You can survey people and control for political imbalance in the results.
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Replying to @KirkegaardEmil @PsychRabble2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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Replying to @KirkegaardEmil
oh boy. I was not intending to contest the reality of that consensus -- or of its conclusions. my only pt was that there can be a diff b/w consensus as "what most scientists believe" and as "what most of the articles say."
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Replying to @PsychRabble @KirkegaardEmil
And the question that’s hard to answer about dissenters in surveys is: have they read the relevant primary literature and simply don’t agree with the prevailing interpretation, or are they experiencing the same distorted perceptions of salience & prevalence that laypeople do?
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Use publication record in the model.
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