This describes many "consensuses" in social psychology (including but not not just politicized ones). "Consensus" is a political argument. Validity and strength of underlying evidence is a scientific argument.https://twitter.com/Jon_StewartMill/status/1020094940167254022 …
Consensus measured in anonymous surveys is pretty good evidence. See eg results from IQ researchers.http://www.unz.com/jthompson/who-are-the-iq-experts/ …
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Yes, its an interesting point. I wonder, had there been, say, a survey, of psychologists circa 2005-2010, would there have been a consensus of belief that the IAT was a good measure of implicit bias, which was a powerful and pervasive source of discrim and inequality? IDK, but...
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often, "consensus" is based on claims in the pubbed lits (I think that is where the orig 97% climate consensus came from; the lit, not a survey). And pubbed lits in psych are replete w/so many biases its hard to know what to make of them.
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There's lots of climate science surveys too with congruent results. That consensus is real enough. You can survey people and control for political imbalance in the results.
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oh boy. I was not intending to contest the reality of that consensus -- or of its conclusions. my only pt was that there can be a diff b/w consensus as "what most scientists believe" and as "what most of the articles say."
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There's a standing expert panel of economists who are regularly (and anonymously?) surveyed on issues in field of interest to public. Would be really interesting to see something similar in psychology http://www.igmchicago.org/igm-economic-experts-panel …
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