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KirkegaardEmil's profile
Emil O W Kirkegaard
Emil O W Kirkegaard
Emil O W Kirkegaard
@KirkegaardEmil

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Emil O W Kirkegaard

@KirkegaardEmil

#psychology #genomics #hbd #rstats #statistics #genomics #transhumanism #dataviz #openscience #psychometrics @OpenPsychJour

Denmark
emilkirkegaard.dk
Joined January 2012

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    1. Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil 27 May 2018
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      Seems like Caplan missed an easy angle in his book against education. He already has a pro-natalism book, so it seems a strange miss. Can't have libertarian paradise without breeding more libertarians. Too much female education stands in your way. http://www.nber.org/papers/w16856 pic.twitter.com/X46ZmpyonN

      3 replies 5 retweets 37 likes
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    2. Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil 27 May 2018
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      Punchline something like: while male over-education is socially wasteful, female over-education is literally the killer of civilization due to the fertility trade-off. One cannot continue a civilization with sub-replacement fertility.

      7 replies 12 retweets 53 likes
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    3. Cicerone‏ @Cicerone973 28 May 2018
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      Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

      This can be solved by targeted policies though. Highly educated women want more children than less educated women. They are just less likely to get them if society doesn't cater to their needs (parental leave and free childcare instead of money for children)

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil 28 May 2018
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      Replying to @Cicerone973

      >Highly educated women want more children than less educated women. No they don't. There is a similar dysgenics pattern among number of desired children. Nordic countries have really strong parental leave laws, and still subreplacement fertility.

      11:43 AM - 28 May 2018
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        2. Cicerone‏ @Cicerone973 28 May 2018
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          Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

          OK, let's say they want the same number. In some countries they want more, in others less. The Nordics however have also stopped dysgenic fertility among their native populations. Doesn't help them much with their dysgenic immigration for sure, but ...pic.twitter.com/OuBL7luCN9

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil 28 May 2018
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          Replying to @Cicerone973

          In OKCupid data, clear negative slope for desired number. But yes, these OECD surveys don't find much for the education variant of this pattern (as you show). I don't think Nordics have stopped dysgenics among natives either. Here's some DK data. https://osf.io/3p4dx/ pic.twitter.com/84AYL8cCWx

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil 28 May 2018
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          Replying to @KirkegaardEmil @Cicerone973

          The data are not perfect for this question, especially not because of the problem of the non-westerners exaggerating the negative pattern, but I think it remains if one controls for non-western status, but it hasn't been done.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        5. Cicerone‏ @Cicerone973 28 May 2018
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          Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

          Interesting study btw! If you take data from the Wittgenstein Database on education and demography, these are the figures for Denmark (adjusted for actual fertility): Total 1.73 children University educated 1.70 Upper secondary 1.74 Lower levels 1.76

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        6. Cicerone‏ @Cicerone973 28 May 2018
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          Replying to @Cicerone973 @KirkegaardEmil

          That is however just the women's side. Male fertility usually is more eugenic than female fertilty (incels and stuff) so could be that Denmark is already in the green based on these figures and that assumption, even including immigrants

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        7. Emil O W Kirkegaard‏ @KirkegaardEmil 28 May 2018
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          Replying to @Cicerone973

          Denmark has super high rate of IVF usage at 8% of babies born (!), which is broadly eugenic, both because it improve offspring quality and because it raises fertility among older women who are smarter etc.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        8. End of conversation
        1. Cicerone‏ @Cicerone973 28 May 2018
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          Replying to @KirkegaardEmil

          ...but they show that theoretically, it is possible to turn the thing around.

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