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KevinSimler's profile
Kevin Simler
Kevin Simler
Kevin Simler
@KevinSimler

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Kevin Simler

@KevinSimler

Writer, software person, armchair anthropologist, dilettante. All genders, all political opinions welcome. Book: https://amzn.com/0190495995/ 

San Francisco, CA
meltingasphalt.com
Joined March 2011

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    Kevin Simler‏ @KevinSimler 19 Oct 2016
    • Report Tweet

    Prediction markets have Trump down from 17.5% before the debate to 15.9% now. https://primary.guide 

    10:22 PM - 19 Oct 2016
    • 4 Likes
    • David McDougall j o r d a n 🦑 b a t e s Moses Nakamura 👹 Nick Baum 🇸🇪
    2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
      1. Kevin Kwok‏ @kevinakwok 19 Oct 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @narmno @calcsam @KevinSimler

        true. But unlike referendums polling for presidential much better. Esp with these margins

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Sam Bhagwat‏ @calcsam 19 Oct 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @KevinSimler

        seems reasonable, even if debate was a tie, he needed a win

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      2. Kevin Kwok‏ @kevinakwok 19 Oct 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @calcsam @KevinSimler

        only way he wins now is exogenous event

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. End of conversation
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