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Liquid markets offer strong feedback from material conditions, far beyond any other form of social organization. This is new. Post-2008 macro focuses a lot on self-fulfilling expectations (bubbles, etc). But the remarkable thing is the baseline of *non*-self-fulfillment.
I can’t speak to other worlds, but the software/startup scene runs on social capital and perception much more than material constraints, and self-fulfilling optimism is a big part of getting a new project off the ground.
That makes sense – at the firm level coalition-building is going to loom larger as a problem. And venture capital is going to be pretty illiquid as far as markets go. But even so, we don't live in a world where Theranos could have worked long-term.
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