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KevinSimler's profile
Kevin Simler
Kevin Simler
Kevin Simler
@KevinSimler

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Kevin Simler

@KevinSimler

Writer, software person, armchair anthropologist, dilettante. All genders, all political opinions welcome. Book: https://amzn.com/0190495995/ 

San Francisco, CA
meltingasphalt.com
Joined March 2011

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    1. Kevin Simler‏ @KevinSimler 5 Aug 2018
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      But once you get chemicals arranged in self-replicating bundles, you've entered an entirely new regime: evolution by natural selection. Suddenly there's a process of cumulative change. Suddenly there's LEARNING.

      1 reply 3 retweets 42 likes
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    2. Kevin Simler‏ @KevinSimler 5 Aug 2018
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      This isn't geocentrism. Any life, anywhere in the universe, gets us out of the Age of Boredom. It's just, as far as we know (for now), life happened to arise in only one place, here on Earth.

      1 reply 0 retweets 16 likes
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    3. Kevin Simler‏ @KevinSimler 5 Aug 2018
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      So, here's our narrative: First, the Big Bang. Then 10 billion years of boredom (give or take). Then life! An explosion of learning! And 4 billion years later, here we are.

      3 replies 1 retweet 23 likes
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    4. Kevin Simler‏ @KevinSimler 5 Aug 2018
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      Now, what if we want to refine this picture? What if we allowed ourselves TWO events in our history of the universe? What's the second most important thing?

      1 reply 1 retweet 11 likes
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    5. Kevin Simler‏ @KevinSimler 5 Aug 2018
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      I know, there are many perspectives. But again, I think it's clear: humans are the next most important thing. And once again it comes down to learning. Before humans, all cumulative learning took place in genomes. But humans introduced an entirely new modality: culture.

      2 replies 0 retweets 43 likes
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    6. Kevin Simler‏ @KevinSimler 5 Aug 2018
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      Yes, brains can learn, and brains existed before humans. But brains die with their hosts, and all their hard-won knowledge has to be re-learned from scratch by the next generation.

      1 reply 1 retweet 29 likes
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    7. Kevin Simler‏ @KevinSimler 5 Aug 2018
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      Some animals pass knowledge from parents to children. But the carrying capacity of this "culture" is small and fixed. Humans were the first species with the ability to ACCUMULATE knowledge in culture, in an open-ended way.

      1 reply 1 retweet 39 likes
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    8. Kevin Simler‏ @KevinSimler 5 Aug 2018
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      So, again, our story: Big Bang. 10 billion years of boredom. Then life! And 4 billion years of natural selection. Then brains+culture! And a ~million years of cultural evolution later, with all of our farms and factories and computing devices, here we are.

      1 reply 5 retweets 30 likes
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    9. Kevin Simler‏ @KevinSimler 5 Aug 2018
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      If this view of history has merit, it suggests that the next truly transformative step will involve a new modality for cumulative learning. Is this AI? Machine learning? The answer is "definitely maybe." But we're certainly not there yet.

      5 replies 1 retweet 35 likes
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    10. Robin Hanson‏Verified account @robinhanson 5 Aug 2018
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      Replying to @KevinSimler

      Actually, we've seen two further events at which the learning/growth rate increased as much as it did with the first human cultural learning: farming, and industry.

      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      Kevin Simler‏ @KevinSimler 5 Aug 2018
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      Replying to @robinhanson

      Totally. I'm attempting to pull even farther back — but my vision gets blurry at this distance :). If you had to pick only two inflection points in all of history, what would they be?

      11:44 AM - 5 Aug 2018
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. Robin Hanson‏Verified account @robinhanson 5 Aug 2018
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          Replying to @KevinSimler

          I'm reacting to your suggestion that the next similar change is AI. We've already seen similar changes, and AI may not be a bigger step than these other ones.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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