I think the gap is closer than this - my usual rule of thumb was YouGov overstate the Tories by about 6%pic.twitter.com/AjjTos6fZe
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They predicted 93% of the seats correctly last time - so about 45 incorrectly - but that’s no guarantee of similar accuracy this time. They interview only 150 people in each constituency which may or may not be representative as it’s done online and they are self-selecting.